By Norman J. Ashford at al.
Аэропорт инжиниринг: планирование, проектирование и развитие аэропортов 21-го века. Издание 4-е.
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Extra resources for Airport Engineering. Planning Design and Development of 21st Century Airports (4th edition)
Basic Utility Stage II. This type of airport accommodates the same fleet of aircraft suited to Basic Utility Stage I airports plus a broader array of small business and air-taxi type twin-engine airplanes. It is primarily intended to serve medium-sized communities, with a diversity of usage and a potential for increased aviation activities. Basic utility airports are designed to serve airplanes with wingspans of less than 49 ft. Precision approach operations are not anticipated for either of the Basic Utility airport classes.
Each metric has five values showing the relative forecast variance by the number of years before the preparation of the forecast took place. 5% for ASM forecasts prepared three years in advance. For the period under examination, preparation of the forecasts for FY 2005, FY 2006, FY 2007, and FY 2008 occurred in FY 2003, FY 2004, FY 2005, and FY 2006, respectively. Presenting forecast variances from actual data in such a manner simplifies a review of longer term trends. This allows for examining changes in the relative variances by time horizon, signaling when dramatic shifts in accuracy occur.
While the FAA forecasts typically generate debate and discussion on content and approach when they are published annually, they rarely undergo a diligent and systematic validation. Given its critical importance, the study consultant team conducted a validation exercise whereby the actual demand reported in a given year is compared to the published FAA demand forecast for the particular year, as conducted in the previous years (5). The consultant team reviewed the FAA forecasts of enplanements developed over 20 years prior.
Airport Engineering. Planning Design and Development of 21st Century Airports (4th edition) by Norman J. Ashford at al.